Sunday, January 3, 2016

Education’s Magic Algorithm Scam


Hey Gov! Want to dramatically improve the educational success of low-income students? You know, solve the problem that’s been baffling the US for three decades?

It’s simple! Just test the students and connect the tests to their specific teachers. Teachers whose students do very badly will be fired and those who only do OK will be forced to improve. Simple, straightforward, and you can see it here on this spreadsheet. I’ve created an algorithm that shows how it works! It’s like magic!

Magic is much easier than a lot of  hard work, so New York’s Governor Cuomo and nearly all of America’s governors have signed on for the Magic Algorithm ride.  

The idea of the Magic Algorithm has been spread by a new class of education pseudo-experts, people with little or no teaching experience, especially not with low-income students. But they know for sure exactly how to solve education’s problems, because you don’t find truth in classrooms and communities, you find it in Excel.  (Bill Gates could really help education by asking Microsoft to have Excel open with a disclaimer:  “Beware! Numbers alone aren’t knowledge!”)

Actually, the idea of locking test scores to teacher ability isn’t simple. And simplistic is far too weak a descriptor.

“Moronic” would be the best way to categorize the idea of improving education by robotically chaining teacher quality to student tests.


There’s a vast tapestry of experience and research that tells us human-to-human interactions are extremely complex and not at all subject to simple solutions. Business has learned that.

GM, struggling in the 1980s because of poor manufacturing efficiency and low-quality, blamed their problems on the workforce. If we could only get the union to allow us to fire the bad workers, they said, we’d be fine.

Then Toyota took over the management of GM’s worst plant, in Fremont, California. Quickly, with the same union workforce, Fremont rose to levels of quality and efficiency not approached by any GM-managed facility.

Toyota succeeded by creating a collegial atmosphere with the workers. Management knew that the staff had lots of good ideas about how to do their jobs effectively, and actively sought their advice. Managers also ignored the 19th Century punish or praise ideology favored by Detroit and replaced it with one which assumed that everyone wanted to be effective and encouraged people to work together to help others.

The new managers also recognized that many of the problems in the plant arose because workers felt they were often blamed for things beyond their control – specifically, defective parts from suppliers. Toyota then improved the supplier network by employing the same approach as with the factory staff – instead of simply firing suppliers, they worked with them to foster improvement.

I’m sure teachers’ unions have created problems and been difficult on some issues. But maybe that’s because we don’t value teachers and don’t engage them in solutions. When automakers engaged in a respectful way, things changed radically and US union plants are now equal to the best in Japan in key metrics.

Remember, the quality revolution in Japan began with unionized companies, and highly profitable top-end manufacturers like BMW and Mercedes are unionized.

We don’t need social scientists to tell us that employees who aren’t respected and supported usually don’t do their best work. When morale sinks, effectiveness goes with it.

We’d like to assume that teachers will always go to the wall to do their best, even if they aren’t respected and even if the students and parents often don’t think “people like us” can be good at learning. But the reality is that teachers are humans like the rest of us and, after a few years of feeling defeated, some proportion don’t go all out because they think no one really cares.

Schools aren’t auto plants and teachers aren’t assembly line workers. But, despite many important differences, the common principles of human relationships obtain.

Engaging respectfully with teachers could begin by recognizing that their success is highly dependent on whether families and communities value education and believe that “people like us” can be good at learning. This isn’t theory; it’s clearly demonstrated in international research, which shows that even low income students do well in communities where the prevailing attitude is that education is essential and that it’s effort not talent that drives success.

With appropriate respect and support, teachers could have a key role in helping build community-based solutions to low-income families’ attitudes about education and educational success. There are lots of community-schools organizations, but they aren’t focused on the core problem -- affecting those in the surrounding culture who don’t join such groups, those who believe that success in education isn’t for “people like us.” 

Toyota made “ineffective” workers into good ones. The process wasn’t simple. It required extensive analysis as well as overcoming union and supplier fears. It was hard work and took time. Unfortunately, that makes it a bad example.


Building common understandings about success in education, including especially with parents and others in neighborhoods and communities, won’t happen easily or quickly.  That’s why politicians (perhaps now excluding Governor Cuomo) prefer to follow the  spreadsheet-worshipping purveyors of algorithms. It’s much more appealing to believe in magic.